By the time 2030 hits (ten years/a decade), most android/mobile linux devices will already be twice as powerful as 2020’s

This is more or less a look into the future of what most devices will be like, in terms of specifications, battery life (longevity), battery technologies adopted, and operating system/software choices for said devices. Android (or maybe something else?) would likely be far more streamlined than it currently is to date (as of february 16, 2020).

Currently, the MOST POWERFUL android device, going purely by specifications, software features (bloatware), has 12-16GB RAM, Octa or Deca-core, at 2.0 (or up to 4.0) GHz CPU and equivalent GPU, 1-2 TB of flash storage (at most) and probably a battery of less than 3,000 to 4,000 mAh in capacity. That being a device made by samsung.

Now, as for what could be in ten years (a decade)? I foresee some major changes depending on how you look into it. No, i’m not a future-chaser by any means. I’m a future comparative individual. I evaluate, not just based on the amount of money one would save (not just based on my own financial limits either), but the sheer amount of electronic waste (e-waste) that will be produced within a whole ten (10) years.

5 to 500 million (or billion) METRIC TONS of it, a majority not even getting recycled, which is a damn shame for the environment.

Long-term, not buying a ‘new’ mobile device every 1-2 years (or respectively, a new computer every 3-5 years), I would be saving $1,000 to $30,000. In that span of time (5-10 or 15 years), about 10-15 factory resets would be performed, a few device software reloads (for older devices) and worn out components (screen and/or digitiser, memory card, keyboard/button membrane, SIM slot, headset jack, battery) would be replaced, recycled properly at the local ERA (electronics recycling agency). By that time, the flash memory on said devices, would be close to, or near it’s end, of valid life.

I would also be using the same computer(s) long-term, including internals (graphics, RAM, optical/storage drives), modem/router, display panel, storage media or mediums, or if said hardware OR components should fail, the next step up from it.

Mechanical (hard, magnetic media) drives, keyboards, optical mice (especially the scroll wheel and momentary switches), or florescent/LED-backlit displays don’t last forever, and new emerging storage technologies are being developed, so a new standard or type should be available within a 20-25 year period (the expected life-time of my current machine and setup).

Once 20-25 years lapses, there should be a much faster processor available (40 to 80-cores), far better, faster RAM (DDR, TDR or QDR 10/15/20), PCI-Express (or Ultra?) 8/10/12/16, or something entirely different (who knows!) and a huge big-time difference in super-powerful GPU’s (off-board preferred), which would out-perform those of today by 20-30 times.

Okay I have written enough. Let this time capsule post publish, you read it (maybe share too?) until the time arises, and then we’ll see how much of my estimates will even reach fruition (ie. become reality).